XRP, the cryptocurrency that powers Ripple’s global payments system, was last trading lower by about 3.4% on the day on Wednesday, or by about 1.4% in the last 24 hours according to CoinMarketCap. Wednesday’s losses have seen XRP/USD slip back into the $0.37s and under the 21 and 200-Day Moving Averages (DMA) at $0.388 and $0.389 respectively. XRP is for now finding support at last week’s lows in the $0.372 area, but price predictions have become less bullish since the cryptocurrency failed to maintain its late-November uptrend and to sustain a clean break above its 200DMA.
But XRP is still about 20% above its mid-November lows in the $0.32 region that was posted in wake of the FTX crash. Technical bullish momentum might have waned, but bulls will be hoping that a “Santa rally” can lift optimism into the year-end, especially if things continue to look favorable for Ripple in its ongoing lawsuit versus the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
Analysts think that summary judgment in the Ripple versus SEC lawsuit, where the later is accusing the former of selling XRP as unregistered securities, could come as soon as the end of Q1 2023. There is also the possibility that the SEC, facing defeat, might want to settle with Ripple at a sooner date.
It seems likely that in the case of a favorable outcome where XRP is not deemed as a security, XRP could quickly surge back to test its September 2022 highs in the mid-$0.50s per token area. This has been a key area of support/resistance going back to June 2021.
A breakout to this area would mark a break above a downtrend that has been capping XRP price action going all the way back to November 2021, when broader cryptocurrency markets saw their post-pandemic peak. That would be a key
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