After rising for four successive months, Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to end May with losses of about 7%. Another noteworthy thing in May is that Bitcoin’s 30-day volatility dropped to 1.52%, which is far below the yearly average 4% and higher. Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin’s low volatile periods have only lasted for 19.3% of its total price history. Hence, there is an expectation for volatility to pick up in June.
In an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph, Glassnode lead on-chain analyst James Check said that Bitcoin could rally to $32,000, which is its “true cost basis.” Analysts at Glassnode arrived at this level after focusing on active Bitcoin investors and removing coins that are lost forever.
In the near term, the outcome of the vote on the debt ceiling in the United States House of Representatives could provide direction. If the vote succeeds, as is widely accepted, it could lead to a knee-jerk reaction to the upside. But if the vote fails, then Bitcoin is likely to break below $25,000.
The short-term charts of Bitcoin and select major altcoins suggest that the bulls may be losing their grip. What are the important support levels that the bulls need to hold to avoid a collapse? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin reversed direction from the downtrend line on May 29, indicating that the bears continue to sell near crucial resistance levels.
The flattish 20-day exponential moving average ($27,273) and the relative strength index just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the BTC/USDT pair could drop to the $25,250 support.
Buyers are expected to defend the zone between $24,000 and $25,250
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