Bitcoin still lacks this on-chain signal for BTC bull market — David Puell
Bitcoin (BTC) only needs one more key on-chain signal for a classic bull market to begin, analyst David Puell says.
In a tweet on Dec. 17, the Puell Multiple creator argued that the stage is almost set for the end of the BTC price bear market.
Despite many calling for new BTC/USD lows of $12,000 or less this cycle, not everyone is wholly bearish on the outlook for Bitcoin.
For Puell, two essential on-chain phenomena necessary for BTC price recovery are already in evidence.
Long-term holders (LTHs) are resisting the urge to sell despite Bitcoin being down over 70% from its last all-time high.
At the same time, short-term “speculators” are feeling acute pain from recent price action. As Cointelegraph reported, these “tourists” are likely already mostly gone from the market.
All that is missing, Puell believes, is a rise in network activity from all participants.
“On-chain, three factors are needed for a bull: 1. Holding behavior from long-term investors. 2. Painful losses from short-term speculators. 3. Network activity across the board,” he summarized.
He added that “favorable” macro conditions would aid the turnaround, as well as crypto becoming more resilient to “contagion” in the form of “exogenous and endogenous ‘swans.’”
BTC/USD traded at around $16,700 at the time of writing, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed.
That perspective chimes with others calling for calm over current BTC price performance.
Related: Bitcoin targets $16.7K amid fear BNB may 'drag whole crypto market down'
Among them is popular analytics account Dilution-proof, which on the day drew attention to BTC/USD simply copying previous bear market behavior.
Evidence came in the form of Bitcoin’s MVRV-z score — an expression of market cap
Read more on cointelegraph.com
