Bitcoin becoming less volatile than stocks raises warning flag

economictimes.indiatimes.com:

Bitcoin becoming less volatile than stocks might appear like a positive development. But crypto traders are warning that in a low-volume environment, that might not be a great thing. The coin’s 30-day realized volatility has “dropped sharply” in recent days, according to Noelle Acheson, author of the “Crypto is Macro Now” newsletter. It’s currently at around 52% after spending the past month above 64% on an annualized basis, according to Coin Metrics data compiled by Acheson. Meanwhile, Jake Gordon at Bespoke Investment Group points to a volatility gauge called BitVol, which has “begun to break down,” falling to near its lowest levels since the spring. The index currently clocks in at a little above 69, down from more than 111 in May. Yet trading volume has also slumped. Daily readings are hovering around $47 billion right now, down from more than $100 billion at the start of the year, according to data tracker CoinMarketCap.com. And even though lower volatility is typically welcomed in the stock market, for instance, the combo could spell trouble for Bitcoin, where there tend to be plenty of speculators who enter the space purely for the thrill of the swings.

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“Low volatility in Bitcoin might not necessarily be a good thing, especially if it’s on low volume,” ARK Investment Management analyst Yassine Elmandjra said on Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. Elmandjra cited late 2018, when Bitcoin was hovering