An indicator that has reliably triggered ahead of the last three major Bitcoin bulls markets looks like it is about to turn green.
Bitcoin’s Realized Price – the average price at the time at which each coin last moved – looks like it will soon cross above the Realized Price of Long-term Holders, according to a chart presented by Blockware Solutions in their weekly newsletter citing Glassnode data.
The Realized Price of Long-term Holders is defined here as coins that haven’t moved in at least 155 days and sit outside of major centralized cryptocurrency exchanges.
The Realized Price was last just above $20,000, while the Realized Price of Long-term Holders was last just under $21,000.
Given Bitcoin’s rally into the upper-$20,000s to $30,000 area in recent months, the Realized Price is expected to keep rising.
The Realized Price of Longer-term Holders would also be expected to eventually rise, but with a delay thanks to the conditions that coins haven’t moved in at least 155 days.
The past three times the Realized Price crossed above the Realized Price of Longer-term Hodlers after a prolonged spell below it, Bitcoin went on to post a parabolic rally in the subsequent few years.
The Realized Price/Realized Price of Longer-term Holders indicator will soon likely join a growing list of technical and on-chain indicators suggesting a new Bitcoin bull market is here.
As discussed in a recent article, all eight of the on-chain and technical indicators tracked by Glassnode’s Recovering from a Bitcoin Bear dashboard have been flashing that a bull market is here for most of the last six or so weeks.
A separate on-chain indicator tracked by Glassnode called “Reserve Risk” – which acts as a guage of HODLer conviction - also recovered from
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