Litecoin (LTC) could rise another 20% amid a rare trend reversal breakout that has already resulted in LTC outperforming most crypto assets in recent days.
LTC's price broke out of what earlier appeared to be a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Symmetrical triangles are trend continuation patterns, meaning breaking out of their range typically prompts the price to move in the direction of their previous trend.
Litecoin formed a symmetrical triangle pattern between May and November after dropping 70% to nearly $40 in the prior trading sessions. Ideally, the LTC/USD pair could have resolved the pattern by breaking below its lower trendline.
But instead, it broke above the upper trendline in early November, as shown below. According to Edwards and Magee, the authors of Technical Analysis of Stock Trend, the breakout move is rare, given only 25% of symmetrical triangle breakouts have historically resulted in trend reversals.
Litecoin followed up with its symmetrical triangle reversal move decisively and now eyes a run-up toward $100, or another 20% by December 2022.
This upside target is measured after calculating the distance between the triangle's upper and lower trendline and adding the output to the breakout point (around $58 in Litecoin's case).
Litecoin's symmetrical triangle breakout move started in late October. It coincided with MoneyGram's announcement that it would enable users to purchase, store, and use LTC alongside Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) for payments.
The LTC breakout lost momentum due to the FTX collapse in the first week of November and its negative impact on the broader crypto market. But, Litecoin resumed its upward trend amid speculations about its reward halving in the summer of 2023.
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