Fed's Daly says 'our work is far from done' on inflation; Evans says bigger hike 'OK'

cnbc.com:

The Federal Reserve still has a lot of work to do before it gets inflation under control, and that means higher interest rates, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Tuesday.

«People are still struggling with the higher prices they're paying and the rising prices,» Daly said during a live LinkedIn interview with CNBC's Jon Fortt. «The number of people who can't afford this week what they paid for with ease six months ago just means our work is far from done.»

So far this year, the central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate four times, totaling 2.25 percentage points. That has come in response to inflation running at a 9.1% annual rate, the highest level since November 1981.

The Fed in July raised its funds rate 0.75 percentage point, the same as it hiked in June. That was the largest back-to-back increase since the central bank started using the funds rate as its chief monetary policy tool in the early 1990s.

But Daly said no one should take those big moves as an indication that the Fed is winding down its rate hikes.

«Nowhere near almost done,» she said in assessing the progress. «We have made a good start and I feel really pleased with where we've gotten to at this point.»

Futures pricing indicates the markets see the Fed raising rates another 0.5 percentage point in September and another half percentage point through the end of the year, taking the funds rate to a range of 3.25%-3.5%, according to CME Group data. The expectation is then that as the economy slows due to the policy tightening, the Fed then would start cutting by next summer.

Daly pushed back on that notion.

«That's a puzzle to me,» she said. «I don't know where they find that in the data. To me, that would not be my modal outlook.»

Chicago