Cardano price risks 30% drop in Q2 despite a 'major' hard fork ahead
Cardano (ADA) price risks undergoing a severe correction in the next few months despite touting its blockchain network's bolstering growth and a "major" hard fork event in June.
ADA, which makes up about 1.75% of the total crypto market capitalization, has been trending lower since September 2021, inside a "descending channel" pattern that has successfully capped its multiple upside attempts, as illustrated in the chart below.
The channel showed further strength as ADA broke above its upper trendline on March 27, only to reverse entirely in later sessions, showing a lack of conviction among the Cardano bulls.
ADA's 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave), alongside the 0.236 Fib line (near $1.29) of the Fibonacci retracement graph, drawn from $2.96-swing high to $0.78-swing low, further aided the bearish bias.
As of April 15, ADA's price consolidates inside the $0.97-$0.92 range, signaling intentions to continue its pullback from its fakeout top near $1.25.
If the descending channel setup continues panning out, ADA/USD could fall to its previous bottom range near $0.78 while eyeing the channel's lower trendline around $0.65 as its primary downside target.
That amounts to an almost 30% drop from today's price.
Meanwhile, Input Output Hong Kong (IOHK), the research and development firm behind the Cardano project, has announced incredible network growth entering April 2022.
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IOHK also appears to be readying the "Vasil" hard fork, a network upgrade
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